rdf-syntax-grammar
mods:
  schema location: http://www.loc.gov/mods/v3 http://www.loc.gov/standards/mods/v3/mods-3-2.xsd
  title info:
    title: Introduction to Financial Forecasting in Investment Analysis
  name:
    name part: Guerard, Jr., John B.
    role:
      role term: creator
    role:
      role term: author.
  name:
    name part: SpringerLink (Online service)
  type of resource: text
  origin info:
    place:
      place term: xxu
    date issued: 2013
    issuance: monographic
  language:
    language term: eng
  physical description:
    form: electronic
    form: electronic resource
    reformatting quality: access
    form: remote
    extent: XI, 236 p. online resource.
  abstract: Forecasting—the art and science of predicting future outcomes—has become a crucial skill in business and economic analysis. This volume introduces the reader to the tools, methods, and techniques of forecasting, specifically as they apply to financial and investing decisions. With an emphasis on “earnings per share” (eps), the author presents a data-oriented text on financial forecasting, understanding financial data, assessing firm financial strategies (such as share buybacks and R&D spending), creating efficient portfolios, and hedging stock portfolios with financial futures. The opening chapters explain how to understand economic fluctuations and how the stock market leads the general economic trend; introduce the concept of portfolio construction and how movements in the economy influence stock price movements; and introduce the reader to the forecasting process, including exponential smoothing and time series model estimations. Subsequent chapters examine the composite index of leading economic indicators (LEI); review financial statement analysis and mean-variance efficient portfolios; and assess the effectiveness of analysts’ earnings forecasts. Using data from such firms as Intel, General Electric, and Hitachi, Guerard demonstrates how forecasting tools can be applied to understand the business cycle, evaluate market risk, and demonstrate the impact of global stock selection modeling and portfolio construction.
  table of contents: Chapter 1: Why do we forecast? -- Chapter 2: Regression Analysis and Forecasting Models -- Chapter 3: An Introduction to Time Series Modeling and Forecasting -- Chapter 4: Regression Analysis and Multicollinearity: Two Case Studies -- Chapter 5: Multiple Time Series Analysis and Causality Testing -- Chapter 6: A Case Study of Portfolio Construction using the USER Data and the Barra Aegis System -- Chapter 7: More Efficient Portfolios Featuring the USER Data and an Extension to Global Data and Investment Universes -- Chapter 8: Forecasting World Stock Returns and Improved Asset Allocation -- Chapter 9: Summary and Conclusions.
  note: by John B. Guerard, Jr.
  subject:
    topic: Finance
  subject:
    topic: Economics, Mathematical
  subject:
    topic: Macroeconomics
  subject:
    topic: Economics
  subject:
    topic: Macroeconomics/Monetary Economics//Financial Economics
  subject:
    topic: Finance, general
  subject:
    topic: Quantitative Finance
  classification: HB172.5
  classification: 339
  related item:
    title info:
      title: Springer eBooks
  identifier: 9781461452393
  identifier: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4614-5239-3
  record info:
    record creation date: 130107
    record change date: 20151204171321.0
    record identifier: 978-1-4614-5239-3