State and Local Population Projections Methodology and Analysis /

• Main Authors: Smith, Stanley K. (Author), Tayman, Jeff (Author), Swanson, David A. (Author)
• Corporate Author: SpringerLink (Online service)
• Format: Electronic eBook
• Language: English
• Published: Dordrecht : Springer Netherlands, 2002.
• Series: The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis,
• Subjects: Social sciences.; Public health.; Statistics.; Environmental management.; Population.; Sociology.; Demography.; Social Sciences.; Population Economics.; Sociology, general.; Public Health.; Environmental Management.; Statistics, general.

The initial plans for this book sprang from a late-afternoon conversation in a hotel bar. All three authors were attending the 1996 meeting of the Population As- ciation of America in New Orleans. While nursing drinks and expounding on a variety of topics, we began talking about our current research...

Table of Contents:

• Fundamentals of Population Analysis
• Overview of the Cohort-Component Method
• Mortality
• Fertility
• Migration
• Implementing the Cohort-Component Method
• Trend Extrapolation Methods
• Structural Models I
• Structural Models II
• Special Adjustments
• Evaluating Projections
• Forecast Accuracy and Bias
• A Practical Guide to Small-Area Projections
• New Directions in Population Projection Research.