Risk Analysis of Complex and Uncertain Systems

• Κύριος συγγραφέας: Cox, Louis Anthony (Συγγραφέας)
• Συγγραφή απο Οργανισμό/Αρχή: SpringerLink (Online service)
• Μορφή: Ηλεκτρονική πηγή Ηλ. βιβλίο
• Γλώσσα: English
• Έκδοση: Boston, MA : Springer US, 2009.
• Σειρά: International Series in Operations Research & Management Science, 129
• Θέματα: Business.; Operations research.; Decision making.; Probabilities.; Biomathematics.; Environmental health.; Environmental sciences.; Social policy.; Business and Management.; Operation Research/Decision Theory.; Environmental Health.; Math. Appl. in Environmental Science.; Social Policy.; Probability Theory and Stochastic Processes.; Mathematical and Computational Biology.

"Tony Cox is among the most active and creative architects and users of quantitative risk analysis. This book is full of interesting equations, conceptual designs and conundrums that characterize QRA and its applications to risk management. Informed by trenchant thinking and perceptive writing,...

Πίνακας περιεχομένων:

• 1 INTRODUCTION TO RISK ANALYSIS
• Quantitative Risk Assessment Goals and Challenges
• to Engineering Risk Analysis
• to Health Risk Analysis
• 2 AVOIDING BAD RISK ANALYSIS
• Limitations of Risk Assessment Using Risk Matrices
• Limitations of Quantitative Risk Assessment Using Aggregate Exposure and Risk Models
• 3 PRINCIPLES FOR DOING BETTER
• Identifying Nonlinear Causal Relations in Large Data Sets
• Overcoming Preconceptions and Confirmation Biases Using Data Mining
• Estimating the Fraction of Disease Caused by One Component of a Complex Mixture: Bounds for Lung Cancer
• Bounding Resistance Risks for Penicillin
• Confronting Uncertain Causal Mechanisms – Portfolios of Possibilities
• Determining What Can Be Predicted: Identifiability
• 4 APPLICATIONS AND EXTENSIONS
• Predicting the Effects of Changes: Could Removing Arsenic from Tobacco Smoke Significantly Reduce Smoker Risks of Lung Cancer?
• Simplifying Complex Dynamic Networks: A Model of Protease Imbalance and COPD Dynamic Dose-Response
• Value of Information (VOI) in Risk Management Policies for Tracking and Testing Imported Cattle for BSE
• Improving Antiterrorism Risk Analysis
• Designing Resilient Telecommunications Networks.