Seasonal Climate: Forecasting and Managing Risk

• Corporate Author: SpringerLink (Online service)
• Other Authors: Troccoli, Alberto (Editor), Harrison, Mike (Editor), Anderson, David L. T. (Editor), Mason, Simon J. (Editor)
• Format: Electronic eBook
• Language: English
• Published: Dordrecht : Springer Netherlands, 2008.
• Series: NATO Science Series, 82
• Subjects: Earth sciences.; Climate change.; Atmospheric sciences.; Tropical medicine.; Environmental economics.; Earth Sciences.; Atmospheric Sciences.; Climate Change Management and Policy.; Environmental Economics.; Tropical Medicine.

Originally formed around a set of lectures presented at a NATO Advanced Study Institute (ASI), this book has grown in scope and in aspiration to become organised and presented rather more as a textbook than as a standard “collection of proceedings”. The lack of a unified reference textbook covering...

Table of Contents:

• Seasonal Climate Forecasts in Context
• Seasonal Forecasts in Decision Making
• The Production of Seasonal Climate Forecasts
• Overview of Seasonal Forecasting
• Ocean–Atmosphere Basis for Seasonal Climate Forecasting
• Getting the Coupled Model Ready at the Starting Blocks
• Modelling the Atmospheric, Oceanic and Coupled System
• Statistical Modelling
• Calibration and Assessment of Seasonal Climate Forecasts
• From Dynamical Model Predictions to Seasonal Climate Forecasts
• An Introduction to Probability Forecasting
• How Do We Know Whether Seasonal Climate Forecasts are Any Good?
• Developing Successful Application Strategies
• Communicating Seasonal Forecasts
• Building National and Specialised Climate Services
• Water, Health and Early Warnings
• The Future of Seasonal Climate Forecasting
• A Way Forward for Seasonal Climate Services.