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03334nam a22004935i 4500 |
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978-3-540-46389-4 |
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|a 9783540463894
|9 978-3-540-46389-4
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|a 10.1007/978-3-540-46389-4
|2 doi
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|a 339
|2 23
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|a Leamer, Edward E.
|e author.
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|a Macroeconomic Patterns and Stories
|h [electronic resource] /
|c by Edward E. Leamer.
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|a Berlin, Heidelberg :
|b Springer Berlin Heidelberg,
|c 2009.
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|a XVI, 360 p.
|b online resource.
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|a text
|b txt
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|a computer
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|a online resource
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|a text file
|b PDF
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|a Introduction: We Are Pattern-Seeking, Story-Telling Animals -- Four Key Variables: Growth, Unemployment, Inflation and Interest Rates -- Gross Domestic Product -- The Components of GDP: C+I+G+X?M -- Employment -- Inflation and Interest Rates -- Extrapolative Forecasting -- A Recession Symptoms -- Unwanted Idleness: Recessions and Recoveries -- Recession Comparison Charts -- Who Struggles and Who Does Well in Recessions? -- B Recession Stories -- Idleness Stories -- Cycle Stories -- C Recession Early Warning Signs -- Clues: Temporal Ordering of Components of GDP -- More Clues: Episodic Forecasting with Components of Conference Board's Index of Leading Indicators -- D Recession Causes -- The Art of Drawing Causal Inferences from Nonexperimental Data -- In Search of Recession Causes -- Expansions: With and Without Spurts -- The Life Cycle of US Expansions: Sputters and Spurts -- The Longer Run: Savings, Investment, Government Borrowing, Foreign Lending and Your Home -- Savings and Investment -- Government -- The External Deficit and the Value of the Dollar Hu's in Charge? -- The Ups and Downs of Real Estate Values: Can You Rely on Your Home To Pay For Your Retirement?.
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|a This book offers the wisdom and insight regarding the US economy from a well-known and distinguished econometrician who found himself first teaching macro economics to MBAs and then Directing the highly-regarded and widely-quoted UCLA/Anderson Forecast which provides quarterly forecasts for the US economy. Edward Leamer argues that "We are pattern-seeking story-telling animals." He provides in this book the patterns and stories that are the basis for his understanding of what determines the business cycle and what determines long-run economic growth.
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650 |
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|a Statistics.
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650 |
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|a Econometrics.
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650 |
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|a Macroeconomics.
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650 |
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|a Economic growth.
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|a Economics.
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650 |
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|a Macroeconomics/Monetary Economics//Financial Economics.
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650 |
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4 |
|a Econometrics.
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650 |
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4 |
|a Statistics for Business/Economics/Mathematical Finance/Insurance.
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650 |
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4 |
|a Economic Growth.
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710 |
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|a SpringerLink (Online service)
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|t Springer eBooks
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|i Printed edition:
|z 9783540463887
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|u http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-46389-4
|z Full Text via HEAL-Link
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|a ZDB-2-SBE
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950 |
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|a Business and Economics (Springer-11643)
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