Macroeconomic Patterns and Stories

This book offers the wisdom and insight regarding the US economy from a well-known and distinguished econometrician who found himself first teaching macro economics to MBAs and then Directing the highly-regarded and widely-quoted UCLA/Anderson Forecast which provides quarterly forecasts for the US e...

Πλήρης περιγραφή

Λεπτομέρειες βιβλιογραφικής εγγραφής
Κύριος συγγραφέας: Leamer, Edward E. (Συγγραφέας)
Συγγραφή απο Οργανισμό/Αρχή: SpringerLink (Online service)
Μορφή: Ηλεκτρονική πηγή Ηλ. βιβλίο
Γλώσσα:English
Έκδοση: Berlin, Heidelberg : Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 2009.
Θέματα:
Διαθέσιμο Online:Full Text via HEAL-Link
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100 1 |a Leamer, Edward E.  |e author. 
245 1 0 |a Macroeconomic Patterns and Stories  |h [electronic resource] /  |c by Edward E. Leamer. 
264 1 |a Berlin, Heidelberg :  |b Springer Berlin Heidelberg,  |c 2009. 
300 |a XVI, 360 p.  |b online resource. 
336 |a text  |b txt  |2 rdacontent 
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505 0 |a Introduction: We Are Pattern-Seeking, Story-Telling Animals -- Four Key Variables: Growth, Unemployment, Inflation and Interest Rates -- Gross Domestic Product -- The Components of GDP: C+I+G+X?M -- Employment -- Inflation and Interest Rates -- Extrapolative Forecasting -- A Recession Symptoms -- Unwanted Idleness: Recessions and Recoveries -- Recession Comparison Charts -- Who Struggles and Who Does Well in Recessions? -- B Recession Stories -- Idleness Stories -- Cycle Stories -- C Recession Early Warning Signs -- Clues: Temporal Ordering of Components of GDP -- More Clues: Episodic Forecasting with Components of Conference Board's Index of Leading Indicators -- D Recession Causes -- The Art of Drawing Causal Inferences from Nonexperimental Data -- In Search of Recession Causes -- Expansions: With and Without Spurts -- The Life Cycle of US Expansions: Sputters and Spurts -- The Longer Run: Savings, Investment, Government Borrowing, Foreign Lending and Your Home -- Savings and Investment -- Government -- The External Deficit and the Value of the Dollar Hu's in Charge? -- The Ups and Downs of Real Estate Values: Can You Rely on Your Home To Pay For Your Retirement?. 
520 |a This book offers the wisdom and insight regarding the US economy from a well-known and distinguished econometrician who found himself first teaching macro economics to MBAs and then Directing the highly-regarded and widely-quoted UCLA/Anderson Forecast which provides quarterly forecasts for the US economy. Edward Leamer argues that "We are pattern-seeking story-telling animals." He provides in this book the patterns and stories that are the basis for his understanding of what determines the business cycle and what determines long-run economic growth. 
650 0 |a Statistics. 
650 0 |a Econometrics. 
650 0 |a Macroeconomics. 
650 0 |a Economic growth. 
650 1 4 |a Economics. 
650 2 4 |a Macroeconomics/Monetary Economics//Financial Economics. 
650 2 4 |a Econometrics. 
650 2 4 |a Statistics for Business/Economics/Mathematical Finance/Insurance. 
650 2 4 |a Economic Growth. 
710 2 |a SpringerLink (Online service) 
773 0 |t Springer eBooks 
776 0 8 |i Printed edition:  |z 9783540463887 
856 4 0 |u http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-46389-4  |z Full Text via HEAL-Link 
912 |a ZDB-2-SBE 
950 |a Business and Economics (Springer-11643)