Uncertainty and Risk Mental, Formal, Experimental Representations /

• Συγγραφή απο Οργανισμό/Αρχή: SpringerLink (Online service)
• Άλλοι συγγραφείς: Abdellaoui, Mohammed (Επιμελητής έκδοσης), Luce, R. Duncan (Επιμελητής έκδοσης), Machina, Mark J. (Επιμελητής έκδοσης), Munier, Bertrand (Επιμελητής έκδοσης)
• Μορφή: Ηλεκτρονική πηγή Ηλ. βιβλίο
• Γλώσσα: English
• Έκδοση: Berlin, Heidelberg : Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 2007.
• Σειρά: Theory and Decision Library C, Series C: Game Theory, Mathematical Programming and Operations Research, 41
• Θέματα: Operations research.; Decision making.; Game theory.; Economic theory.; Economics.; Economic Theory/Quantitative Economics/Mathematical Methods.; Game Theory, Economics, Social and Behav. Sciences.; Operation Research/Decision Theory.

We all feel that our world is fundamentally uncertain. But less unanimity emerges as to what we mean by "uncertainty" and how we ought to adjust. Businessmen tend to be "cautious" and engineers to pick up the "right" decision criteria among the many available in the lit...

Πίνακας περιεχομένων:

• Foundations
• Conjectures, Refutations and Discoveries: Incorporating New Knowledge in Models of Belief and Choice under Uncertainty
• When an Event Makes a Difference
• Countable Additivity and the Foundations of Bayesian Statistics
• On the Quantification and Decomposition of Uncertainty
• The Importance of Representational Tools in Understanding Behaviour Under Uncertainty and Risk
• Preference for Diversification with Similarity Considerations
• Uncertainty Improves the Second-Best
• Lorenz Meets Rating but Misses Valuation
• A Deeper Look at Hyperbolic Discounting
• The Assessment of Several Alternative Decision Rules
• “Take-the-Best” and Other Simple Strategies: Why and When They Work “Well” with Binary Cues
• On Generalized Secretary Problems
• Voting on Alternatives or on Criteria? The Meta-Decision on Group Decision Procedures
• Models of Risk Attitude Modelling and Methodological Issues
• Probabilistic Risk Analysis Versus Decision Analysis: Similarities, Differences and Illustrations
• A Conjoint Measurement Based Rationale for Inducing Preferences
• Active Search for Probability Information and Recall Performance: Is Probability an Outstanding Element in the Mental Representation of Risky Decisions?
• Evolutionary Analysis of Risk Attitudes in Competitive Bidding Environments Using Simulation
• Behavior in Risky Decisions: Focus on Risk Defusing.