Forecasting International Migration in Europe: A Bayesian View

• Κύριος συγγραφέας: Bijak, Jakub (Συγγραφέας)
• Συγγραφή απο Οργανισμό/Αρχή: SpringerLink (Online service)
• Μορφή: Ηλεκτρονική πηγή Ηλ. βιβλίο
• Γλώσσα: English
• Έκδοση: Dordrecht : Springer Netherlands : Imprint: Springer, 2011.
• Σειρά: The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis, 24
• Θέματα: Social sciences.; Statistics.; Emigration and immigration.; Demography.; Social Sciences.; Migration.; Statistical Theory and Methods.

International migration is becoming an increasingly important element of contemporary demographic dynamics and yet, due to its high volatility, it remains the most unpredictable element of population change. In Europe, population forecasting is especially difficult because good-quality data on migra...

Πίνακας περιεχομένων:

• List of tables and figures
• Part I. Introduction
• Part II. Explaining and forecasting migration
• Part III. Examples of Bayesian migration predictions
• Part IV. Perspectives of forecast makers and users
• Part V. Conclusion
• Acknowledgements
• References
• Subject Index
• Index of Names
• Annex A. Data sources and the preparatory work
• Annex B. WinBUGS code used in the presented Bayesian forecasts
• Annex C. Bayesian forecasts of selected migration flows in Europe.