The macroeconomic determinants of Value at Risk of eurozone stock markets

This study examines the relationship between Value at Risk and macroeconomic factors. We apply fixed effects estimator in quarterly panel data for the Eurozone stock market indices for 1997 to 2016 period. Value at Risk was estimated with the methods of Historical Simulation and parametric Normal Di...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Στάικος, Φίλιππος
Other Authors: Δράκος, Κωνσταντίνος
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: 2018
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/10889/10899
Description
Summary:This study examines the relationship between Value at Risk and macroeconomic factors. We apply fixed effects estimator in quarterly panel data for the Eurozone stock market indices for 1997 to 2016 period. Value at Risk was estimated with the methods of Historical Simulation and parametric Normal Distribution and we found that P.I.G.S. performed higher VaR than the rest of countries, especially in Greece’s case. Our findings indicate significant relationship between Value at Risk and Industrial production, Unemployment Rate, Inflation, Long Term Government Bond Yield, Oil prices, Debt to GDP ratio and Sovereign Credit Rating. This study is highly useful for investors, financial analysts, regulators and fund managers.