The macroeconomic determinants of Value at Risk of eurozone stock markets

This study examines the relationship between Value at Risk and macroeconomic factors. We apply fixed effects estimator in quarterly panel data for the Eurozone stock market indices for 1997 to 2016 period. Value at Risk was estimated with the methods of Historical Simulation and parametric Normal Di...

Πλήρης περιγραφή

Λεπτομέρειες βιβλιογραφικής εγγραφής
Κύριος συγγραφέας: Στάικος, Φίλιππος
Άλλοι συγγραφείς: Δράκος, Κωνσταντίνος
Μορφή: Thesis
Γλώσσα:English
Έκδοση: 2018
Θέματα:
Διαθέσιμο Online:http://hdl.handle.net/10889/10899
Περιγραφή
Περίληψη:This study examines the relationship between Value at Risk and macroeconomic factors. We apply fixed effects estimator in quarterly panel data for the Eurozone stock market indices for 1997 to 2016 period. Value at Risk was estimated with the methods of Historical Simulation and parametric Normal Distribution and we found that P.I.G.S. performed higher VaR than the rest of countries, especially in Greece’s case. Our findings indicate significant relationship between Value at Risk and Industrial production, Unemployment Rate, Inflation, Long Term Government Bond Yield, Oil prices, Debt to GDP ratio and Sovereign Credit Rating. This study is highly useful for investors, financial analysts, regulators and fund managers.