economics_working_paper_2022_06_en.pdf

"This sovereign default risk index is a high frequency measure of countries’ default risk, particularly for those lacking market-based measures: it correlates with sovereign credit default swap spreads, predicts rating downgrades, and reflects default risk information not fully captured these s...

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Έκδοση: 2022
id oapen-20.500.12657-57825
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spelling oapen-20.500.12657-578252023-02-01T09:33:36Z EIB Working Paper 2022/06 - Hot off the press European Investment Bank Business & Economics Banks & Banking bic Book Industry Communication::K Economics, finance, business & management::KF Finance & accounting::KFF Finance::KFFK Banking "This sovereign default risk index is a high frequency measure of countries’ default risk, particularly for those lacking market-based measures: it correlates with sovereign credit default swap spreads, predicts rating downgrades, and reflects default risk information not fully captured these spreads. We assess the influence of sovereign default concerns on equity markets, and find that spikes in the index are negatively associated with same-week market returns. This indicates that investors might overreact to default concerns. Equity markets’ reaction to default concerns is more pronounced and persistent for countries with tight fiscal constraints. The response to global, compared to country-specific, default concerns is much stronger, underlining the relevance of global “push” factors for local asset prices." 2022-08-08T05:31:39Z 2022-08-08T05:31:39Z 2022 book 9789286152696 https://library.oapen.org/handle/20.500.12657/57825 eng application/pdf n/a economics_working_paper_2022_06_en.pdf 10.2867/661002 10.2867/661002 European Investment Bank 9789286152696 Knowledge Unlatched (KU) open access
institution OAPEN
collection DSpace
language English
description "This sovereign default risk index is a high frequency measure of countries’ default risk, particularly for those lacking market-based measures: it correlates with sovereign credit default swap spreads, predicts rating downgrades, and reflects default risk information not fully captured these spreads. We assess the influence of sovereign default concerns on equity markets, and find that spikes in the index are negatively associated with same-week market returns. This indicates that investors might overreact to default concerns. Equity markets’ reaction to default concerns is more pronounced and persistent for countries with tight fiscal constraints. The response to global, compared to country-specific, default concerns is much stronger, underlining the relevance of global “push” factors for local asset prices."
title economics_working_paper_2022_06_en.pdf
spellingShingle economics_working_paper_2022_06_en.pdf
title_short economics_working_paper_2022_06_en.pdf
title_full economics_working_paper_2022_06_en.pdf
title_fullStr economics_working_paper_2022_06_en.pdf
title_full_unstemmed economics_working_paper_2022_06_en.pdf
title_sort economics_working_paper_2022_06_en.pdf
publishDate 2022
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