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oapen-20.500.12657-63206
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oapen-20.500.12657-632062024-03-28T08:18:54Z Representation of warm conveyor belts in sub-seasonal forecast models and the link to Atlantic-European weather regimes Wandel, Jan Lucas numerische Wettervorhersage; synoptisch-skalige Prozesse; Warm conveyor belts; blockierende Hochdruckwetterlagen; sub-saisonale Zeitskalen; numerical weather prediction; synoptic-scale processes; warm conveyor belts; atmospheric blocking; sub-seasonal time scales thema EDItEUR::P Mathematics and Science::PH Physics This study systematically investigates the representation of warm conveyor belts (WCBs) in large reforecast data sets of different numerical weather prediction models and evaluates the role of WCBs for the onset and life cycle of Atlantic-European weather regimes. The results emphasize the importance of accurate forecast of WCBs for sub-seasonal prediction on time scales beyond two weeks and tie the low forecast skill of blocked weather regimes over Europe to misrepresented WCBs. 2023-06-05T12:25:57Z 2023-06-05T12:25:57Z 2023 book https://library.oapen.org/handle/20.500.12657/63206 eng Wissenschaftliche Berichte des Instituts für Meteorologie und Klimaforschung des Karlsruher Instituts für Technologie application/pdf Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International representation-of-warm-conveyor-belts-in-sub-seasonal-forecast-models-and-the-link-to-atlantic-european-weather-regimes.pdf https://doi.org/10.5445/KSP/1000151831 KIT Scientific Publishing 10.5445/KSP/1000151831 10.5445/KSP/1000151831 44e29711-8d53-496b-85cc-3d10c9469be9 43 256 open access
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OAPEN
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English
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description |
This study systematically investigates the representation of warm conveyor belts (WCBs) in large reforecast data sets of different numerical weather prediction models and evaluates the role of WCBs for the onset and life cycle of Atlantic-European weather regimes. The results emphasize the importance of accurate forecast of WCBs for sub-seasonal prediction on time scales beyond two weeks and tie the low forecast skill of blocked weather regimes over Europe to misrepresented WCBs.
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title |
representation-of-warm-conveyor-belts-in-sub-seasonal-forecast-models-and-the-link-to-atlantic-european-weather-regimes.pdf
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spellingShingle |
representation-of-warm-conveyor-belts-in-sub-seasonal-forecast-models-and-the-link-to-atlantic-european-weather-regimes.pdf
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title_short |
representation-of-warm-conveyor-belts-in-sub-seasonal-forecast-models-and-the-link-to-atlantic-european-weather-regimes.pdf
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title_full |
representation-of-warm-conveyor-belts-in-sub-seasonal-forecast-models-and-the-link-to-atlantic-european-weather-regimes.pdf
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title_fullStr |
representation-of-warm-conveyor-belts-in-sub-seasonal-forecast-models-and-the-link-to-atlantic-european-weather-regimes.pdf
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title_full_unstemmed |
representation-of-warm-conveyor-belts-in-sub-seasonal-forecast-models-and-the-link-to-atlantic-european-weather-regimes.pdf
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title_sort |
representation-of-warm-conveyor-belts-in-sub-seasonal-forecast-models-and-the-link-to-atlantic-european-weather-regimes.pdf
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publisher |
KIT Scientific Publishing
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publishDate |
2023
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url |
https://doi.org/10.5445/KSP/1000151831
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_version_ |
1799945276144746496
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