Forecast verification : a practitioner's guide in atmospheric science /

• Άλλοι συγγραφείς: Jolliffe, I. T., Stephenson, David B.
• Μορφή: Ηλ. βιβλίο
• Γλώσσα: English
• Έκδοση: Hoboken : John Wiley & Sons, 2012.
• Έκδοση: 2nd ed.
• Θέματα: Weather forecasting > Statistical methods.; Weather forecasting > Statistical methods > Evaluation.; Geology.; Science.; Physics.; NATURE > Weather.; SCIENCE > Earth Sciences > Meteorology & Climatology.; Electronic books.

 Forecast Verification: A Practioner's Guide in Atmospheric Science, 2nd Edition provides an indispensible guide to this area of active research by combining depth of information with a range of topics to appeal both to professional practitioners and researchers and postgraduates. The editors have succeeded in presenting chapters by a variety of the leading experts in the field while still retaining a cohesive and highly accessible style. The book balances explanations of concepts with clear and useful discussion of the main application areas. 

 Forecast Verification; Contents; List of Contributors; Preface; Preface to the First Edition; 1 Introduction; 1.1 A brief history and current practice; 1.1.1 History; 1.1.2 Current practice; 1.2 Reasons for forecast verification and its benefits; 1.3 Types of forecast and verification data; 1.4 Scores, skill and value; 1.4.1 Skill scores; 1.4.2 Artificial skill; 1.4.3 Statistical significance; 1.4.4 Value added; 1.5 Data quality and other practical considerations; 1.6 Summary; 2 Basic concepts; 2.1 Introduction; 2.2 Types of predictand; 2.3 Exploratory methods.