Statistical Demography and Forecasting

• Main Authors: Alho, Juha M. (Author), Spencer, Bruce D. (Author)
• Corporate Author: SpringerLink (Online service)
• Format: Electronic eBook
• Language: English
• Published: New York, NY : Springer New York, 2005.
• Series: Springer Series in Statistics,
• Subjects: Social sciences.; Epidemiology.; Statistics.; Population.; Demography.; Social Sciences.; Population Economics.; Statistical Theory and Methods.

Sustainability of pension systems, intergeneration fiscal equity under population aging, and accounting for health care benefits for future retirees are examples of problems that cannot be solved without understanding the nature of population forecasts and their uncertainty. Similarly, the accuracy...

Table of Contents:

• Sources of Demographic Data
• Sampling Designs and Inference
• Waiting Times and Their Statistical Estimation
• Regression Models for Counts and Survival
• Multistate Models and Cohort-Component Book-Keeping
• Approaches to Forecasting Demographic Rates
• Uncertainty in Demographic Forecasts: Concepts, Issues, and Evidence
• Statistical Propagation of Error in Forecasting
• Errors in Census Numbers
• Financial Applications
• Decision Analysis and Small Area Estimates.